Obama National Field Director Jeremy Bird released a memo on Thursday designed to calm nervous Democrats by advancing the Obama campaign’s meme that it is dominating early voting in the battleground state of Ohio.
But as former Republican National Committee strategist Adrian Gray points out, the Obama campaign’s Ohio narrative is bogus.
“When things are ugly for a campaign, these types of memos can start flying,” writes Mr. Gray. “It is troubling for the president’s supporters that they could not come up with at least a handful of positive data points in Ohio.”
As Mr. Gray notes, the Obama campaign’s Ohio memo is heavy on anecdotes, light on verifiable data, and plucks mathematical minutiae from sub-group polls to paint a political portrait approximating momentum.
In the memo, the Obama field director touts the fact that he has seen “groups as big as 100 voters going to vote in Athens, Ohio.” The problem: just 604 Democrats in the entire country have voted in person, and no more than 40 in a single precinct.